In 2009, around 30 international scientists led by Johan Rockström defined
nine planetary boundaries that set out the Earth's capacity to absorb strain
in key environmental processes. If these boundaries are crossed, the risk of
large-scale, abrupt or irreversible environmental change rises.
In 2009 only seven boundaries could be quantified. In 2023, all nine
processes were measured for the first time. Results from the Planetary Health
Check of 2025 show that seven of the nine critical boundaries have now been
crossed. Ocean acidification has newly entered the danger zone. The main cause
is the burning of fossil fuels, amplified by deforestation and land-use
change.
Only two boundaries remain in the safe zone: aerosol loading and the ozone
layer, which has largely recovered. The example of the ozone layer shows that
international action and political measures can bring about improvement.
In 2009 a group of around 30 international scientists led by Johan Rockström
described nine planetary boundaries. Each names an environmental process
whose resilience can be estimated: climate change, biosphere integrity,
land-system change, freshwater use, the biogeochemical flows of nitrogen and
phosphorus, novel entities such as chemicals and plastics, ocean
acidification, stratospheric ozone depletion and atmospheric aerosol loading.
In 2009 only seven of these processes could be quantified; in 2023 all nine
were measured for the first time.
The Planetary Health Check 2025 concludes that seven of the nine boundaries
have been crossed. Ocean acidification was the most recent addition. Only two
remain in the safe zone: atmospheric aerosol loading and stratospheric ozone
depletion, since the ozone layer has largely recovered. The report names the
burning of fossil fuels as the main cause of the crossings, amplified by
deforestation and land-use change.
A crossed boundary does not mean sudden collapse. It describes an increased
risk of large-scale, abrupt or irreversible environmental change. For most of
the nine processes it is not precisely known where the thresholds lie at
which a system tips; this is the subject of ongoing research.
The boundaries are not independent of one another. Crossing one often worsens
the situation for others: climate change intensifies both ocean acidification
and freshwater stress. Conversely, the ozone layer shows that targeted
international action can reduce damage and bring a system back into the safe
zone.